Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.808301 7.559800 8.429937 9.530559 10.914499 12.640510 15.033858
2024-12-22 5.697076 6.579791 7.682200 9.212702 11.381799 14.538347 19.964321
2024-12-29 5.181760 6.200413 7.565607 9.647057 13.016008 18.981375 33.369919
2025-01-05 4.720959 5.810024 7.356430 9.916426 14.630748 25.071247 68.281021
2025-01-12 4.209642 5.273219 6.840792 9.585473 15.148002 30.113561 165.129813
2025-01-19 3.768835 4.780418 6.311818 9.107749 15.223561 34.896688 1283.807434
2025-01-26 3.638851 4.727145 6.463054 9.916356 18.886391 67.578145 NaN
2025-02-02 3.645967 4.884320 7.001726 11.768855 28.408684 1302.647672 NaN
2025-02-09 3.529333 4.826909 7.155310 12.911295 39.444960 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 3.384823 4.703393 7.161019 13.733150 54.273836 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.231402 4.545479 7.068826 14.271390 74.556505 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 2.995714 4.218234 6.571647 13.327026 71.596926 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.869540 4.100239 6.557333 14.234875 131.543152 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.641875 3.776053 6.042127 13.135511 123.199820 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.521962 3.640714 5.933004 13.568748 252.431934 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.401244 3.492265 5.770685 13.741586 776.609144 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.250357 3.274123 5.414286 12.921714 809.388748 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.107508 3.061869 5.049540 11.954444 534.229245 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.067372 3.042521 5.142700 13.130453 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.076041 3.118751 5.491112 16.119033 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.037757 3.097171 5.585828 17.981107 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.986672 3.044322 5.586068 19.317373 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.929497 2.973706 5.524018 20.167369 NaN NaN NaN